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[E824.Ebook] Download PDF Is That a Fact? A Field Guide for Evaluating Statistical and Scientific Information, by Mark Battersby

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We are inundated by scientific and statistical information, but what should we believe? How much should we trust the polls on the latest electoral campaign? When a physician tells us that a diagnosis of cancer is 90% certain or a scientist informs us that recent studies support global warming, what should we conclude? How can we acquire reliable statistical information? Once we have it, how do we evaluate it? Despite the importance of these questions to our lives, many of us have only a vague idea of how to answer them. In this admirably clear and engaging book, Mark Battersby provides a practical guide to thinking critically about scientific and statistical information. The goal of the book is not only to explain how to identify misleading statistical information, but also to give readers the understanding necessary to evaluate and use statistical and statistically based scientific information in their own decision making.

• Sales Rank: #990600 in Books
• Published on: 2009-12-03
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 6.00" h x .0" w x 9.00" l, 1.10 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 240 pages

Review
"Mark Battersby's Is That a Fact? is a readable, entertaining, reliable and useful guide to an important life skill in today's complex world: understanding, evaluating and using statistical information and reports of scientific research. Using a framework of four "critical questions" (What does the claim mean? How good is the evidence? What else is relevant? What are the fallacies?), Battersby takes the reader through the topics of polling, data, graphs, correlations and causes, and scientific claims. He then shows how to use the information one has evaluated to make decisions. Is That a Fact? is studded with extensive discussions of real-life examples that touch on matters of concern to everyone, such as the health risks of second-hand smoke and of cell-phone use. It is amply illustrated with figures, charts and well-drawn cartoons that vividly bring home key points." (David Hitchcock)

"Is That a Fact? provides an entertaining and enlightening tour of the often confusing world of probability and statistics, always with an eye on their proper role in good reasoning. A delightful discussion that beautifully clarifies what is all too often confusing or just plain confused. The book help will ordinary citizens to better understand and evaluate all sorts of scientific claims as they occur in the popular press and public policy debates. Hats off to Mark Battersby!" (Harvey Siegel)

"One of the intellectual currents of our time has been a revolution in the study of reasoning and argument. Philosophers and other academics have broadened their horizons and turned their attention to the study and analysis of the reasoning, arguments and attempts at persuasion that inundate our lives. Mark Battersby has been an integral part of the movement in this direction. In Is That A Fact? he provides an engaging and thoroughly readable introduction to critical thinking on statistical and scientific claims. It can usefully inform the thinking of everyone who has to contend with such claims in their professional or personal lives." (Leo Groarke)

"Using timely and important examples, Professor Battersby provides a careful and well-documented discussion of statistics, and does this without sacrificing liveliness or readability. Is That a Fact? is a fascinating book about statistics to give to all your friends." (Trudy Govier)

"Is That a Fact? should be compulsory reading for every journalist, especially anyone calling themselves a 'science writer' or 'investigative reporter'. This sometimes humorous and well illustrated guide to the world of data, graphs, and statistics is well written and fun to read. Finally we learn the difference between a correlation and an association and how to tell one from the other. Battersby also shows how to spot classic fallacies of reasoning, and how to read scientific articles with a critical eye. Highly recommended." (Barry Shell)

From the Back Cover
We are inundated by scientific and statistical information, but what should we believe? How much should we trust the polls on the latest electoral campaign? When a physician tells us that a diagnosis of cancer is 90% certain or a scientist informs us that recent studies support global warming, what should we conclude? How can we acquire reliable statistical information? Once we have it, how do we evaluate it? Despite the importance of these questions to our lives, many of us have only a vague idea of how to answer them. In this admirably clear and engaging book, Mark Battersby provides a practical guide to thinking critically about scientific and statistical information. The goal of the book is not only to explain how to identify misleading statistical information, but also to give readers the understanding necessary to evaluate and use statistical and statistically based scientific information in their own decision making.

About the Author
Mark Battersby is Professor of Philosophy at Capilano University.

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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Applies critical thinking to everyday life
By Olivia Allred
Is That a Fact? by Mark Battersby is a very well-written and well-organized piece of writing about critical thinking of statistics. Battersby’s style is very similar to that of, Asking the Right Questions, by M. Neil Browne and Stuart M. Keeley in the fact that there is a repetitive format for all of the chapters in each of the books. Battersby’s guide to statistical and scientific information is informative while also enjoyable to read.
Battersby’s guide is about how to analyze statistical information and through critical thinking methods, decide whether the statistics support the claim, or not. Each chapter is about some form of statistics, whether it is polling, graphs or sampling and is followed by examples and a series of two to three critical thinking questions. This formatting allows the reader to be interactive with the book. Being given a real-life example of something can really help to solidify a concept in the readers mind.
There are questions following the breakdown of the topic, which encourage the reader to apply what they are learning while they read. This structuring of information is a very effective way to prepare the reader for application of the information they are learning in the real world. For example, in chapter 3, Polling: The Basics, Battersby gives an example of a poll about “Kyoto.” He then proceeds to ask the two big questions, “What is being claimed?” and “How good is the evidence?” Battersby explains, “The way the question is worded is one of the first things to look at in assessing how good the evidence for a poll’s claim is” (Battersby 25). The writing and the layout of this book are at a level that seems to be directed at the general public; Battersby avoids using jargon that may deter the readers from grasping the concept completely.
One more technique that should be appreciated about Battersby’s writing is his fluidity. Battersby has mastered the concept that fluidity is key when trying to successfully convey a message to a reader. Battersbys’ use of footnotes allows the reader to finish one train of thought before seeking out another. If there is a topic that may have some discrepancy or may be unclear, Battersby has provided a footnote in order to further explain or clarify said topic.
Although one of Battersby’s main points is to not put too much emphasis on personal stories, testimonies, or anecdotes, Battersby uses numerous personal stories in his book. In his first footnote on page 2, he gives his disclaimer about his use of stories. “Throughout the text I advise against putting too much reliance on stories and anecdotes, but here I am giving an anecdote in aid of my argument. Hypocrisy? Not really. Anecdotes are memorable and edifying. They have a role to play in explanation and instruction. Anecdotes are a problem only when they are used as evidence for a sweeping generalization. However, here I am not using the story as evidence of a generalization but as an illustration” (Battersby 2). The fact that Battersby provided this disclaimer to his readers gives him reliability and accountability. It is clear he wants his readers to feel as though they can and should trust the information he is giving them.
Battersby’s writing is completely the opposite of credulous. The entire purpose of his book is to encourage people to be more skeptical of the scientific and statistical information they are receiving from the media. He wants to equip the general public with the skills necessary to think critically and make informed decisions about the information portrayed in the media. All too often, people assume someone who makes a claim with out any valid proof to be correct because of their authority or because they are inexperienced in that particular area. It is Battersby’s goal to remind us that just because something may sound accurate, doesn’t mean it is. Battersby provides the essential skills in this book to prepare the reader to dig deeper and not just believe something because it sounds right.
This book has been written in order to apply to a very general group of people. Battersby covers the topic of using critical thinking to analyze the often-confusing world of probability and statistics that the popular press and media portrays to us daily. In order to make these puzzling subjects applicable to the general public, he uses everyday issues such as cell-phone use and the health hazards created by tobacco. Also, in order to further simplify some of the more complicated subjects such as making educated causal inferences, Battersby provides charts and illustrations in order to clarify his descriptions, such as the graph on page 149.
A notable and defining feature about this book is Battersby’s talent of not only telling and showing the reader how to rationalize and evaluate the plethora of deceiving information produced by the media on a daily basis, but also his ability to prepare the reader to do it on their own.
Overall, this book should be read by everyone because is it a necessity to gain the knowledge and ability to comprehend the massive amount of misleading information sent to the public through the various forms of media. This book is the perfect option for anyone in any field of work who is searching to gain a better grasp of the world around them and attain a better understanding of the decisions they make.

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[C434.Ebook] Free Ebook Voyager (Outlander), by Diana Gabaldon

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In this rich, vibrant tale, Diana Gabaldon continues the story of Claire Randall and Jamie Fraser that began with the now-classic novel Outlander and continued in Dragonfly in Amber. Sweeping us from the battlefields of eighteenth-century Scotland to the exotic West Indies, Diana Gabaldon weaves magic once again in an exhilarating and utterly unforgettable novel....

Their love affair happened long ago by whatever measurement Claire Randall took. Two decades before, she had traveled back in time and into the arms of a gallant eighteenth-century Scot named Jamie Fraser. Then she returned to her own century to bear his child, believing him dead in the tragic battle of Culloden. Yet his memory has never lessened its hold on her ... and her body still cries out for him in her dreams.

When she discovers that Jamie may have survived, Claire must choose her destiny. And as time and space come full circle, she must find the courage to face what awaits her ... the deadly intrigues raging in a divided Scotland ... and the daring voyage into the dark unknown that lies beyond the standing stones.

• Sales Rank: #8862 in Books
• Published on: 2001-08-07
• Released on: 2001-08-07
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.20" h x 1.50" w x 6.10" l,
• Binding: Paperback
• 870 pages

From Publishers Weekly
In this triumphant conclusion to the time-travel trilogy she began with Outlander , Gabaldon continues the saga of 20th-century physician Claire Randall and 18th-century Jacobite rebel Jamie Fraser. The first quarter of this mammoth novel covers, in alternate sections, the 20 years the couple spends apart. Jamie is imprisoned, then pardoned and finally sets up shop as a (seditious) printer. Believing that Jamie died at Culloden, the pregnant Claire returns to her own century, reunites (unhappily) with her first husband and gives birth to a daughter, Brianna. But when Claire takes Brianna to Scotland in 1968 to introduce her to her true heritage, they uncover evidence that Jamie had survived. Claire determines she must rejoin him and once again steps fatefully through the stones on Craigh na Dun to find Jamie in Edinburgh in 1766. They wish nothing more than to lead a quiet life, but the kidnapping by pirates of Jamie's young nephew sets the couple off to the New World in pursuit, followed by old enemies and faced by new and vicious dangers. Gabaldon adroitly shepherds her protagonists through the eternal misunderstandings of the sexes, as well as those due to the different epochs in which they were born. Although this latest volume lacks some of the scope and grandeur of the previous two, her use of historical detail and a truly adult love story confirm Gabaldon as a superior writer of historical romance. Literary Guild main selection; author tour.
Copyright 1993 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
Time traveler Claire Randall first encountered Jamie Fraser, the fiery 18th-century Scottish clansman, in Outlander (Delacorte, 1991). The lovers continued their relationship in the best-selling Dragonfly in Amber (Delacorte, 1992). Now, in Voyager , Claire decides to return to the 18th century to reunite with her beloved. First printing: 60,000 copies.
Copyright 1994 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Booklist
The third of Gabaldon's novels featuring the time-traveling heroine Claire Randall covers her reunion with her twentieth-century husband, the birth of her daughter by eighteenth-century Scots clansman Jamie Fraser, and her training as a doctor. In due course, she feels driven to essay time traveling again, but reunion with Jamie takes place on the eve of Culloden. The pair's subsequent flight for life takes them to the West Indies and, finally, to a hair-raising shipwreck in the American colonies that hints there may be a fourth volume of Claire's adventures. Gabaldon handles the time-travel elements competently but subordinates them to classic historical romance--a big one, luxuriantly detailed and featuring highly appealing characters and an authentic feel to the background that speaks well of her research and writing. Recommended wherever Outlander and A Dragonfly in Amber found an audience. Roland Green

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10 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
Still a better love story than Twilight...
By Travis H. McGee
The first two books had their flaws, but that did not stop me from developing an obsession with the story. I neglected my studies while eating up every page. I was even glad that the books were long so that it would not have to end too soon. With Voyager, I could not put the book down, because I was so desperate to be done with it. Towards the end, I began skimming through paragraphs to hurry it up (which did not matter, because so much of the crap that happens in this book is pointless). It's a real testament to the first two books that I even finished Voyager, because I had fallen in love with Jamie and Claire and just had to know what happened to them. But now I'm so disenchanted with the series, I wish I had never read this horrible book.
Spoilers...
It starts out all right, but after Jamie and Claire reunite (like right after), all hell breaks loose. I did not even get to enjoy the reunion before characters were being groped, shot, almost burned to death and so on. Oh, and let's not forget all the ridiculous misunderstandings that result in long spells of argument between characters that I swear were put there just to make the book longer. And it just gets worse. We are given one unbelievable situation after another. In half these situations, Claire does not even know what is going on, so it's terribly confusing for the reader.
Despite how muddled everything gets, many things are also way too predictable. I was not surprised at any point during this story (except for the unexpected surprise of it sucking so bad).
I won't go into too many details, because I'm so over it that I don't have the energy to rant about it. I felt it my civic duty to at least warn other readers considering this book.

22 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
Goes Way, Way Beyond the Ridiculous Threshold
By Clio Reads
Last week when I posted my review of Outlander, I wondered whether it would be smart to press on with the series in one massive reading binge, or whether, due to their epic length and the difficult emotional content, it would be smarter to take them slowly... as if I could. A longstanding joke in my family is that I was absent the day they handed out will power, and sure enough, even as I knew it would probably be too much for me emotionally, I devoured Dragonfly in Amber and then Voyager. And maybe it was too much of a good thing, or maybe it was just that I hit a wall and had no more empathy to waste on Jamie and Claire and their endless trevails, but I reached a point midway in this book where I just could not willingly suspend my disbelief anymore.

I'm not sure what happened. Having finished Outlander and Dragonfly in Amber, I was already well used to the endless cycle of Jamie and/or Claire finding themselves in mortal peril with no way out, only they do get out, celebrate their narrow escape with sexy times, and then shortly find themselves in mortal peril again. I'd suspended my disbelief quite a bit, and was just enjoying the ride.

Back in December 2011, the DBSA Romance Fiction Podcast (hosted by Sarah Wendell of Smart B****es, Trashy Books and Jane Litte of Dear Author) had an episode about the Ridiculousness Threshold -- that point at which the reader can no longer accept character or plot insanity and no longer enjoys the book. For me, I hit the Ridiculousness Threshold the moment Laoghaire's daughter walks in on Jamie and Claire at Lallybroch and calls him "Daddy!"

After that, no matter how I tried, I could not silence my inner skeptic. Almost every twist and turn of the convoluted plot made me roll my eyes and think, "Oh, for pete's sake, seriously?" The entire rest of the book is one absolutely ridiculous coincidence after another, and even in a series where I was willing to believe in time travel and the main characters' repeated skin-of-the-teeth survival against all odds, I just could not believe in pirates and slasher-killers and secret babies and zombies and shipwrecks and all of the rest of the insanity writ large over the 870 pages of this book.

And you know, the worst of it is that even though I'm totally done, and can't shut up my inner critic enough to enjoy reading, I still want to know what happens to Jamie and Claire next. Maybe I can find some Cliffs Notes.

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Does not maintain the appeal of the first two books.
By Ksndra2
After thoroughly enjoying the first two books, I was looking forward to this one. Although parts of it are fun, overall it is very disappointing. A few thoughts:
(1) Severe seasickness can lead to dehydration which can lead to death. So saying that no one ever died of seasickness is not accurate.
(2) Claire takes the time to prepare to step back in time, but does not seek out a dressmaker to make a proper costume. She has a cloak made, but buys a dress off the rack. She does not carry a bag with a spare dress.
(3) After never mentioning it before, she just happens to have penicillin when needed even though her original clothes were ruined.
(4) She is leaving a note for a daughter she may never see again and her concern is that her daughter not get fat.
There are many other things. Not sure I will bother with book 4.

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[N740.Ebook] Free PDF Heidi Grows Up, by Charles Tritten

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• Sales Rank: #1398826 in Books
• Published on: 1956-12
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Binding: Hardcover
• 256 pages

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
My 87 year old aunt is amazed by the fact that she can simply ask me ...
By Tiffany Jennings Morrison
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Heidi grows up
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Five Stars
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Great book!

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• Sales Rank: #3368138 in Books
• Published on: 2016-01-25
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x .12" w x 6.00" l, .18 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 52 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
I completely liked this book
By Miguel Gonzalez A
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Simple and well explained.
By maximiliano
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Good and simple enough.
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[H162.Ebook] Fee Download Indrajal Comics-799-Phantom: The Hired Assassin (V27N02-1990), by Lee Falk

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Phantom- The Hired Assassin (V27N02-1990)
Total Pages: 36
Adventures of Phantom- The Ghost Who Walks

High Quality scanned Digital Comic
High Quality Scan of old precious collection.
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Indrajal Comics was very popular comic brand in India between 1960 & 1990.
Published by the publisher of the Times of India, Bennett Coleman and Co, it produced about 805 issues from 1964 to 1990.

Major characters were syndicated from King Features, and included The Phantom (more than 50% of material featured the Phantom), Mandrake the Magician, Flash Gordon, Bahadur, Rip Kirby, Buz Sawyer, etc.. From 1964-1982, the issues were numbered linearly from 1-443. Issues No.123 and No.124 were not printed due to industrial strike.

To avoid confusion among Indian readers, there were some minor changes done to the name of the Phantom's location and some characters in stories published in Indrajal Comics. The term " Bengali" or "Bengalla" or "Bengal" was changed to "Denkali" and in some issues "Dangalla" as well. This was since there is a state called "Bengal" in India and this may lead the readers to wonder about the "Pygmy" people that don't exist in Bengal.

From January 1983, No.444, was identified as Vol.20, No.1, till it ended at Vol.27 No.8, which would have been No.805 as per the original scheme.

The series was variously published as a weekly, monthly and fortnightly.

Apart from English, Indrajal Comics published the stories in at least a dozen other Indian languages including Hindi, Marathi, Bengali, Tamil and Kannada.

मार्च १९६४ से प्रारम्भ हुई इस यात्रा ने पूरे छब्बीस वर्षों तक पूरे हिंदुस्तान को अपने जादू में जकड़े रखा| कितने ही दीवाने सुध-बुध भूल कर उस अद्भुत और रहस्यमय दुनिया में खोये रहे जो बिखरी थी इसके पन्नों की निराली छठा में| कुल ८०३ अंक प्रकाशित हुए जिनमें से आधे से ज्यादा में सर्वप्रिय नायक वेताल की कहानियाँ थीं| ली फाक के रचे इस शानदार चरित्र की गाथाएं दुनिया के अस्सी से भी अधिक देशों में एक साथ प्रकाशित होती थीं| ली फाक का ही एक अन्य चरित्र मैन्ड्रेक भी लोकप्रियता में कोई पीछे नहीं था| इनके अतिरिक्त अन्य विश्व-स्तरीय कहानियाँ के बीच मौजूद था नितांत देसी चरित्र बहादुर| कई अंक भारतीय संस्कृति के विभिन्न पहलुओं पर भी प्रकाशित किए गए|

• Sales Rank: #2702931 in eBooks
• Published on: 2016-03-12
• Released on: 2016-03-12
• Format: Kindle eBook

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